GamePlan Science
vs
Week 1
2026-09-13
Acrisure Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
ATL wins 3,500
of 10,000 simulations
PIT wins 6,100
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35ATLPIT

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
ATL 38%Tie 3%59% PIT
ATL most likely
17
PIT most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

ATL-0.083
PIT+0.017
league avg -0.42-0.26-0.110.050.210.36 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

ATL-0.004
PIT-0.008
league avg -0.30-0.18-0.070.050.170.29 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)