Lucas Oil Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerBAL wins 3,600
of 10,000 simulations
IND wins 6,100
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsBAL 36%Tie 3%61% IND
BAL most likely
17
IND most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
BAL+0.062
IND+0.241
Defensive Strength
BAL-0.029
IND-0.040