Reliant Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerBUF wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
HOU wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsBUF 47%Tie 3%50% HOU
BUF most likely
17
HOU most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
BUF+0.215
HOU-0.040
Defensive Strength
BUF-0.029
HOU+0.173