GamePlan Science
vs
Week 1
2026-09-13
Bank of America Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
CHI wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
CAR wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28CHICAR

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
CHI 53%Tie 3%44% CAR
CHI most likely
17
CAR most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

CHI+0.112
CAR-0.112
league avg -0.47-0.29-0.110.070.250.43 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

CHI-0.044
CAR-0.084
league avg -0.38-0.26-0.13-0.010.120.24 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)