GamePlan Science
vs
Week 1
2026-09-13
MetLife Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
DAL wins 4,200
of 10,000 simulations
NYG wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35DALNYG

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
DAL 43%Tie 3%54% NYG
DAL most likely
17
NYG most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

DAL+0.196
NYG+0.032
league avg -0.31-0.140.030.200.370.54 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

DAL-0.211
NYG-0.058
league avg -0.51-0.36-0.21-0.060.080.23 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)