GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · Monday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerDEN wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
KC wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsDEN 44%Tie 3%53% KC
DEN most likely
17
KC most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
DEN-0.017
KC+0.025
Defensive Strength
DEN+0.126
KC+0.027