Allegiant Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerMIA wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
LV wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsMIA 51%Tie 3%46% LV
MIA most likely
17
LV most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
MIA-0.082
LV-0.295
Defensive Strength
MIA-0.063
LV-0.019