GamePlan Science
vs
Week 1
2026-09-09
Lumen Field · Wednesday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
NE wins 3,500
of 10,000 simulations
SEA wins 6,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35NESEA

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
NE 38%Tie 3%59% SEA
NE most likely
17
SEA most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

NE+0.182
SEA+0.087
league avg -0.24-0.090.070.220.370.52 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

NE+0.032
SEA+0.231
league avg -0.26-0.100.060.220.370.53 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)