GamePlan Science
vs
Week 1
2026-09-13
Ford Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
NO wins 3,000
of 10,000 simulations
DET wins 6,700
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35NODET

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
NO 36%Tie 3%62% DET
NO most likely
17
DET most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

NO-0.174
DET+0.124
league avg -0.53-0.33-0.130.070.270.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

NO+0.056
DET+0.002
league avg -0.29-0.16-0.040.090.220.34 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)