Nissan Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerNYJ wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
TEN wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsNYJ 41%Tie 3%56% TEN
NYJ most likely
17
TEN most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
NYJ-0.255
TEN-0.229
Defensive Strength
NYJ-0.157
TEN-0.091