Melbourne Cricket Ground · Thursday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerSF wins 3,600
of 10,000 simulations
LA wins 6,100
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsSF 37%Tie 3%60% LA
SF most likely
17
LA most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
SF+0.144
LA+0.253
Defensive Strength
SF-0.040
LA+0.059