Paycor Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerTB wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
CIN wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsTB 47%Tie 3%50% CIN
TB most likely
17
CIN most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
TB-0.047
CIN+0.032
Defensive Strength
TB-0.021
CIN-0.128