GamePlan Science
vs
Week 1
2026-09-13
Lincoln Financial Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
WAS wins 3,200
of 10,000 simulations
PHI wins 6,500
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35WASPHI

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
WAS 32%Tie 3%65% PHI
WAS most likely
10
PHI most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

WAS-0.013
PHI-0.038
league avg -0.37-0.23-0.090.050.190.33 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

WAS-0.157
PHI+0.143
league avg -0.45-0.27-0.090.080.260.44 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)