Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerCAR wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
ATL wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsCAR 42%Tie 3%55% ATL
CAR most likely
17
ATL most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
CAR-0.112
ATL-0.083
Defensive Strength
CAR-0.084
ATL-0.004