GamePlan Science
vs
Week 2
2026-09-20
Reliant Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
CIN wins 3,500
of 10,000 simulations
HOU wins 6,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35CINHOU

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
CIN 36%Tie 3%61% HOU
CIN most likely
17
HOU most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

CIN+0.032
HOU-0.040
league avg -0.36-0.21-0.070.080.230.37 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

CIN-0.128
HOU+0.173
league avg -0.43-0.25-0.070.110.290.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)