GamePlan Science
vs
Week 2
2026-09-20
Raymond James Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
CLE wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
TB wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28CLETB

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
CLE 39%Tie 3%58% TB
CLE most likely
17
TB most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

CLE-0.342
TB-0.047
league avg -0.69-0.50-0.30-0.100.090.29 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

CLE+0.154
TB-0.021
league avg -0.31-0.16-0.010.150.300.45 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)