Highmark Stadium · Thursday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerDET wins 3,900
of 10,000 simulations
BUF wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsDET 41%Tie 2%57% BUF
DET most likely
17
BUF most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
DET+0.124
BUF+0.215
Defensive Strength
DET+0.002
BUF-0.029