GamePlan Science
vs
Week 2
2026-09-20
MetLife Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
GB wins 6,200
of 10,000 simulations
NYJ wins 3,500
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35GBNYJ

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
GB 62%Tie 3%35% NYJ
GB most likely
17
NYJ most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

GB+0.123
NYJ-0.255
league avg -0.60-0.38-0.170.040.250.46 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

GB-0.044
NYJ-0.157
league avg -0.45-0.31-0.16-0.020.120.26 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)