GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerIND wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
KC wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsIND 48%Tie 3%49% KC
IND most likely
17
KC most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
IND+0.241
KC+0.025
Defensive Strength
IND-0.040
KC+0.027