GamePlan Science
vs
Week 2
2026-09-20
SoFi Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
LV wins 2,500
of 10,000 simulations
LAC wins 7,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35LVLAC

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
LV 30%Tie 3%67% LAC
LV most likely
10
LAC most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

LV-0.295
LAC+0.010
league avg -0.65-0.45-0.25-0.050.150.35 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

LV-0.019
LAC+0.084
league avg -0.31-0.17-0.030.100.240.38 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)