GamePlan Science
vs
Week 2
2026-09-20
Levi's Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
MIA wins 2,900
of 10,000 simulations
SF wins 6,800
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35MIASF

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
MIA 34%Tie 3%63% SF
MIA most likely
17
SF most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

MIA-0.082
SF+0.144
league avg -0.42-0.24-0.060.120.300.48 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

MIA-0.063
SF-0.040
league avg -0.36-0.24-0.110.010.130.25 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)