GamePlan Science
vs
Week 2
2026-09-20
Soldier Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
MIN wins 3,900
of 10,000 simulations
CHI wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35MINCHI

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
MIN 41%Tie 3%56% CHI
MIN most likely
17
CHI most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

MIN-0.125
CHI+0.112
league avg -0.47-0.29-0.110.070.250.43 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

MIN+0.171
CHI-0.044
league avg -0.33-0.17-0.010.150.310.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)