M&T Bank Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerNO wins 3,500
of 10,000 simulations
BAL wins 6,200
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsNO 36%Tie 3%61% BAL
NO most likely
10
BAL most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
NO-0.174
BAL+0.062
Defensive Strength
NO+0.056
BAL-0.029