GamePlan Science
vs
Week 2
2026-09-20
Nissan Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
PHI wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
TEN wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28PHITEN

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
PHI 61%Tie 3%36% TEN
PHI most likely
17
TEN most likely
10

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

PHI-0.038
TEN-0.229
league avg -0.59-0.41-0.23-0.060.120.30 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

PHI+0.143
TEN-0.091
league avg -0.38-0.21-0.050.110.280.44 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)