Gillette Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerPIT wins 3,100
of 10,000 simulations
NE wins 6,700
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsPIT 35%Tie 3%62% NE
PIT most likely
17
NE most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
PIT+0.017
NE+0.182
Defensive Strength
PIT-0.008
NE+0.032