State Farm Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerSEA wins 6,800
of 10,000 simulations
ARI wins 3,000
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsSEA 63%Tie 3%34% ARI
SEA most likely
24
ARI most likely
10
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
SEA+0.087
ARI-0.066
Defensive Strength
SEA+0.231
ARI-0.104