GamePlan Science
vs
Week 2
2026-09-20
AT&T Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
WAS wins 3,900
of 10,000 simulations
DAL wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35WASDAL

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
WAS 41%Tie 2%56% DAL
WAS most likely
17
DAL most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

WAS-0.013
DAL+0.196
league avg -0.35-0.180.000.180.360.54 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

WAS-0.157
DAL-0.211
league avg -0.51-0.38-0.25-0.120.000.13 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)