GamePlan Science
vs
Week 3
2026-09-27
Levi's Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
ARI wins 2,900
of 10,000 simulations
SF wins 6,800
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35ARISF

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
ARI 33%Tie 3%65% SF
ARI most likely
17
SF most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

ARI-0.066
SF+0.144
league avg -0.41-0.23-0.050.130.300.48 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

ARI-0.104
SF-0.040
league avg -0.40-0.27-0.14-0.010.120.25 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)