GamePlan Science
vs
Week 3
2026-09-24
Lambeau Field · Thursday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
ATL wins 3,500
of 10,000 simulations
GB wins 6,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35ATLGB

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
ATL 34%Tie 3%63% GB
ATL most likely
10
GB most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

ATL-0.083
GB+0.123
league avg -0.42-0.24-0.070.110.290.46 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

ATL-0.004
GB-0.044
league avg -0.35-0.22-0.090.030.160.29 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)