GamePlan Science
vs
Week 3
2026-09-27
Maracana Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
BAL wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
DAL wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28BALDAL

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
BAL 49%Tie 2%48% DAL
BAL most likely
24
DAL most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

BAL+0.062
DAL+0.196
league avg -0.27-0.110.050.210.380.54 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

BAL-0.029
DAL-0.211
league avg -0.51-0.35-0.20-0.040.110.26 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)