GamePlan Science
vs
Week 3
2026-09-27
Huntington Bank Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
CAR wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
CLE wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28CARCLE

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
CAR 41%Tie 4%55% CLE
CAR most likely
10
CLE most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

CAR-0.112
CLE-0.342
league avg -0.69-0.50-0.32-0.130.050.24 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

CAR-0.084
CLE+0.154
league avg -0.38-0.22-0.050.110.280.45 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)