Acrisure Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerCIN wins 3,600
of 10,000 simulations
PIT wins 6,100
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsCIN 38%Tie 3%59% PIT
CIN most likely
17
PIT most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
CIN+0.032
PIT+0.017
Defensive Strength
CIN-0.128
PIT-0.008