Hard Rock Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerKC wins 5,900
of 10,000 simulations
MIA wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsKC 51%Tie 3%46% MIA
KC most likely
17
MIA most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
KC+0.025
MIA-0.082
Defensive Strength
KC+0.027
MIA-0.063