Highmark Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerLAC wins 3,900
of 10,000 simulations
BUF wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsLAC 39%Tie 3%58% BUF
LAC most likely
17
BUF most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
LAC+0.010
BUF+0.215
Defensive Strength
LAC+0.084
BUF-0.029