GamePlan Science
vs
Week 3
2026-09-27
Empower Field at Mile High · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
LA wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
DEN wins 4,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35LADEN

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
LA 52%Tie 3%46% DEN
LA most likely
24
DEN most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

LA+0.253
DEN-0.017
league avg -0.35-0.160.030.210.400.59 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

LA+0.059
DEN+0.126
league avg -0.24-0.110.020.150.280.41 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)