Caesars Superdome · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerLV wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
NO wins 5,900
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsLV 40%Tie 4%57% NO
LV most likely
10
NO most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
LV-0.295
NO-0.174
Defensive Strength
LV-0.019
NO+0.056