GamePlan Science
vs
Week 3
2026-09-27
Raymond James Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
MIN wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
TB wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28MINTB

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
MIN 48%Tie 4%48% TB
MIN most likely
17
TB most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

MIN-0.125
TB-0.047
league avg -0.47-0.32-0.16-0.010.140.29 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

MIN+0.171
TB-0.021
league avg -0.31-0.150.000.160.310.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)