EverBank Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerNE wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
JAX wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsNE 46%Tie 3%52% JAX
NE most likely
17
JAX most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
NE+0.182
JAX+0.076
Defensive Strength
NE+0.032
JAX+0.063