Ford Field · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerNYJ wins 2,000
of 10,000 simulations
DET wins 7,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsNYJ 25%Tie 2%73% DET
NYJ most likely
10
DET most likely
27
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
NYJ-0.255
DET+0.124
Defensive Strength
NYJ-0.157
DET+0.002