GamePlan Science
vs
Week 3
2026-09-28
Soldier Field · Monday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
PHI wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
CHI wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28PHICHI

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
PHI 43%Tie 3%53% CHI
PHI most likely
17
CHI most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

PHI-0.038
CHI+0.112
league avg -0.37-0.21-0.050.110.270.43 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

PHI+0.143
CHI-0.044
league avg -0.33-0.18-0.020.130.290.44 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)