GamePlan Science
vs
Week 3
2026-09-27
Northwest Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
SEA wins 6,800
of 10,000 simulations
WAS wins 3,000
of 10,000 simulations
2 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35SEAWAS

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
SEA 62%Tie 3%35% WAS
SEA most likely
17
WAS most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

SEA+0.087
WAS-0.013
league avg -0.35-0.20-0.050.100.260.41 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

SEA+0.231
WAS-0.157
league avg -0.45-0.25-0.050.140.340.53 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)