GamePlan Science
vs
Week 3
2026-09-27
MetLife Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
TEN wins 2,900
of 10,000 simulations
NYG wins 6,800
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35TENNYG

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
TEN 33%Tie 3%65% NYG
TEN most likely
17
NYG most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

TEN-0.229
NYG+0.032
league avg -0.59-0.39-0.20-0.010.190.38 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

TEN-0.091
NYG-0.058
league avg -0.38-0.26-0.13-0.010.110.23 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)