Reliant Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerDAL wins 3,600
of 10,000 simulations
HOU wins 6,100
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsDAL 38%Tie 3%59% HOU
DAL most likely
17
HOU most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
DAL+0.196
HOU-0.040
Defensive Strength
DAL-0.211
HOU+0.173