GamePlan Science
vs
Week 4
2026-10-04
Levi's Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
DEN wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
SF wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28DENSF

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
DEN 43%Tie 3%53% SF
DEN most likely
17
SF most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

DEN-0.017
SF+0.144
league avg -0.35-0.19-0.020.150.310.48 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

DEN+0.126
SF-0.040
league avg -0.33-0.19-0.040.110.260.41 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)