GamePlan Science
vs
Week 4
2026-10-04
Bank of America Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
DET wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
CAR wins 4,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28DETCAR

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
DET 56%Tie 3%41% CAR
DET most likely
17
CAR most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

DET+0.124
CAR-0.112
league avg -0.47-0.28-0.090.090.280.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

DET+0.002
CAR-0.084
league avg -0.38-0.25-0.110.020.160.29 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)