GamePlan Science
vs
Week 4
2026-10-04
Raymond James Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
GB wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
TB wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28GBTB

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
GB 49%Tie 3%48% TB
GB most likely
17
TB most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

GB+0.123
TB-0.047
league avg -0.38-0.21-0.040.130.300.46 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

GB-0.044
TB-0.021
league avg -0.35-0.23-0.100.020.140.26 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)