GamePlan Science
vs
Week 4
2026-10-04
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
IND wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
WAS wins 3,900
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35INDWAS

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
IND 59%Tie 2%39% WAS
IND most likely
17
WAS most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

IND+0.241
WAS-0.013
league avg -0.35-0.170.010.200.380.57 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

IND-0.040
WAS-0.157
league avg -0.45-0.31-0.17-0.030.110.25 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)