Paycor Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerJAX wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
CIN wins 3,900
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsJAX 55%Tie 3%42% CIN
JAX most likely
24
CIN most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
JAX+0.076
CIN+0.032
Defensive Strength
JAX+0.063
CIN-0.128