Allegiant Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerKC wins 6,200
of 10,000 simulations
LV wins 3,400
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsKC 59%Tie 3%38% LV
KC most likely
17
LV most likely
10
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
KC+0.025
LV-0.295
Defensive Strength
KC+0.027
LV-0.019