GamePlan Science
vs
Week 4
2026-10-04
Lincoln Financial Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
LA wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
PHI wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28LAPHI

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
LA 50%Tie 3%46% PHI
LA most likely
17
PHI most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

LA+0.253
PHI-0.038
league avg -0.37-0.180.010.210.400.59 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

LA+0.059
PHI+0.143
league avg -0.24-0.100.030.170.300.44 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)